In the midst of a pandemic, demand for single-family rentals soars

Not only does this make the single-family rental home sector attractive as an affordable housing option, but its latest iteration — increasingly backed by institutional investors — is also appealing to millennials and other generations who want more space without the financial burden of owning a home.

Single-family rents have increased by almost 11% nationally in October last year compared to the previous year, according to real estate data firm CoreLogic – a sign that demand is on the rise for this type of product during the pandemic. While Sun Belt cities dominated rent growth, Boston still had the 15th highest increase.

“The big thing right now that’s pretty obvious is just this crazy increase in house prices,” said Whitney Airgood-Obrycki, a research associate at the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. “The very low inventory completely prevents people from accessing the property that otherwise would have purchased.”

But several key ingredients of the single-family rental sector are missing in a housing market like Boston. These developments are typically found in the Sun Belt, which stretches from California to North Carolina, where land is widely available and significantly more affordable than in Greater Boston. The conversation about housing development in Greater Boston has also been more about density in recent years and finding ways to build as many new units as possible in a part of the country that is largely already developed.

But don’t rule out its future.

Boston is a city full of college grads struggling with student debt, which doesn’t leave much room to save for a down payment on a first home.

Single-family rental housing might conjure up images of hundreds of single-family homes in a planned community, which has become a very popular vehicle for the development of this sector. But duplex and townhouse rental developments — sometimes called horizontal multifamily projects — are also considered single-family homes because the same tenant occupies all floors of an unstacked unit.

These denser arrangements are best suited to urban and suburban locations where tall apartment or condo towers are unlikely to be approved.

“Nationally, we are seeing the strongest growth for this type of product in Sun Belt markets, where land is abundant and zoning is favorable,” said Kelly Mangold, director of the real estate consulting firm RCLCO. “But even in the northeast regions, there are opportunities to develop single-family rental communities – but perhaps in denser configurations such as terraced houses or horizontal multi-family products.”

The demand for single-family housing appears to thwart housing advocates and the city of Boston’s efforts to address the area’s housing shortage. The city aims to add 69,000 new homes as part of its “Housing a Changing City: Boston 2030” Plan – and it’s much easier to achieve this goal with densely-configured apartment and condo buildings rather than single-family homes.

But don’t wave the white flag of defeat for single-family rentals just yet.

“The pandemic has basically poured gasoline on this change out of urban areas [centers] and out of multi-family apartments”, Richard RossCEO of Quinn Residences, an Atlanta-based single-family home developer, said in December during the National Association of Property Editors conference.

Quinn Residences may be focused on the South, but the urban exodus to suburban housing has been a national trend during the pandemic — a trend that has accelerated hyper-competitive bidding wars in suburban Boston.

Home values ​​in the United States have risen just over 19% in the past year and are expected to rise another 14.3% next year, according to Zillow, a home search website. A low inventory can drive home prices up even further. “The median price of a single-family home in Massachusetts sold in November was $510,000, according to real estate analysis firm The Warren Group – a record high for the month,” Jon Gorey reported for Boston.com. “This marked a 10.9% increase from a year ago and a stunning 30.4% jump from November 2019, when the typical Massachusetts home sold for $391,000.”

The national stock of homes for sale hit an all-time low late last year, according to Redfin, a real estate brokerage network. This also plays out at the local level: “On a given day in November, there were only 3,848 single family homes for sale statewide, according to the Massachusetts Association of Realtors. This marked a 45.5% drop from what was already a tight market in November 2020, when there were 7,058 active listings,” Gorey reported.

This shortage is especially acute in vacation areas like Cape Cod. There were fewer than 300 single-family homes for sale on Cape Cod the first week of this month, according to the Cape Cod & Islands Association of Realtors. This figure surpassed more than 2,700 single-family homes in the same week in 2017.

It’s fuel for developers to consider more rental accommodation, assuming they can get through a planning board.

“There’s this play between supply and demand that suggests high-income renters and some households are simply renting longer because they want to,” Airgood-Obrycki said. “We saw that after the Great Recession.”

Single-family rental demand after the Great Recession was met largely by converting homes for sale into rental units. But the resilience of this type of housing during downturns is prompting US developers to intentionally build homes for the rental market.

According to Walker & Dunlop, purpose-built single-family rental homes currently make up about 5% of all new homes built in the United States. The entire single-family home rental market, which also includes existing homes that have been purchased and then converted to rentals, accounted for nearly 12% of all housing units in the United States at the end of 2019.

It may not seem like much, but the sector is about to take off.

The RCLCO report estimates that an additional 2.5 million single-family homes will be needed over the next decade to meet demand from potential renters who cannot afford a home, who are moving to a new city or who simply want the space a single family home can provide without the requirements of ownership.

Investors are also flocking: Quinn Residences has raised over $750 million in equity groups like Conversant Capital and Monarch Alternative Capital. This is well above the 600 million dollars that the leaders were aiming for.

But popularity and investor interest are not fueling an increase in single-family rental inventory in New England. RCLCO has spotlighted three great single-family rental developments in the area among the handful: Northwest Woods – which includes townhouses – in Norwood and two Connecticut apartment communities with a significant number of townhouses and attached units with individual entrances. The report overlooks others, including Halstead Beverly, which offers one-, two-, and three-bedroom townhouses.

An activity center at Halstead Beverly Townhomes.Gregg Shupe © 2022/©Gregg Shupe 2021/ShupeStudios.

Single-family rental housing isn’t a complete anomaly in Greater Boston, but it’s mostly individual homeowners renting a single-family home. The number of these types of units within the Boston city limits hovered around 5,000 for several years. A City of Boston spokesperson said there were no pending proposals for single-family rental developments.

“A lot of them may be off the market,” said DJ Gendreau, real estate agent at Douglas Elliman Real Estate. “I’ve known a number of them that were investment properties that owners would consider renting out.”

While typical single-family rentals do not create the housing density that advocates are calling for, there are project types that offer much more density than what would be found in a detached single-family rental project in the Sun Belt.

Horizontal multi-family projects and attached single-family developments share similarities with typical apartment or condo developments in terms of unit size, but RCLCO’s Mangold acknowledges that there are benefits as well as challenges in boosting this type of housing in Massachusetts.

“While regulatory and zoning restrictions may impede single-family product type in some locations to promote density, there are also many other jurisdictions where the opposite is the case – including many parts of Massachusetts where single-family use is the only type allowed,” she said.

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About Michael B. Billingsley

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